Bitcoin prices have shown mild bearish pressure in recent trading as global markets remain uncertain and traders remain cautious. BTC has struggled to build strong upward momentum, but declines are still contained.
In particular, strong demand for Spot Bitcoin ETFs suggests that investor positioning may be shifting towards a more constructive outlook.
Bitcoin Note is a buy signal
The Spot Bitcoin ETF recorded $1.42 billion in inflows over the past week, the highest weekly total in three months. This surge reflects renewed interest from institutional investors during a period of weak price performance. The last similar inflow surge occurred in October 2025, when the ETF attracted $2.71 billion.
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Such capital inflows often indicate increased investor confidence. Flows into ETFs typically reflect long-term positioning rather than short-term speculation. Current trends suggest that market participants expect Bitcoin prices to rise, reinforcing bullish sentiment despite mixed near-term volatility and macroeconomic signals.
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Macro indicators also support the constructive outlook. The Pi Cycle Top Indicator, a historical measure of the overheated Bitcoin market, is currently divergent. This tool compares a 111-day simple moving average to a 2×365-day moving average to identify cycle peaks.
At the moment, these averages are moving further apart rather than converging. This separation shows that the market is not overheated. Historically, these conditions coincide with low-risk or early to mid-term bull markets. This signal is in clear contrast to typical sell conditions, reinforcing the existence of an active buy signal.
BTC price may not be corrected
At the time of writing, Bitcoin price is trading around $95,173, holding support above the important $95,000 level. This zone has held firm despite repeated tests, suggesting buyers remain active. If ETF inflows continue, it could provide the demand needed to push prices out of this consolidation range.
If the bullish belief persists, BTC could rebound towards $98,000. Such a move would also allow Bitcoin to regain its 200-day exponential moving average near $95,986. A clearing of this level would increase the chances of bullish momentum regaining and pushing towards the psychological threshold of $100,000.
However, the risk remains. The bullish setup could weaken if investor sentiment changes or spot ETFs start recording outflows. In that scenario, Bitcoin could lose support at $95,000. A breakdown could send BTC falling towards $93,471, suggesting fresh downside pressure.
